Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Pico vs Christian Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach71″
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PicoNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
Christian RodriguezNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.16
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
54%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
45%
Strike defense
57%
6.54
Takedown avg.
1.75
13%
Takedown accuracy
41%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Aaron PicoChristian Rodriguez
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
2 (14%)
Submission
5 (38%)
3 (21%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Pico and Christian Rodriguez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1696), separated by just 4 points.

Aaron Pico finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Christian Rodriguez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.