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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Pico vs Eric Wisely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Wisely
us

Eric Wisely

“Little Lee”

33-9-1LightweightCAMMA

1709Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record33-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Conquest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PicoNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Eric WiselyNow 1709
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1477 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.16
Sig. strikes / min
1.42
54%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
45%
Strike defense
57%
6.54
Takedown avg.
0
13%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Aaron PicoEric Wisely
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
14 (50%)
2 (14%)
Submission
5 (18%)
3 (21%)
Decision
9 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Pico77%
Eric Wisely 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Pico a 77% favorite over Eric Wisely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1709), separated by just 1 points.

Eric Wisely enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Aaron Pico finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Eric Wisely 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.