Aaron Rodriguez vs Marco Ccanto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Marco Ccanto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Aaron Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Ccanto a 53% favorite over Aaron Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Marco Ccanto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1550, a 62-point edge.
Aaron Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marco Ccanto enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Aaron Rodriguez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marco Ccanto 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.