Aaron Rosa vs Isaac Muluh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rodrigo Pinheiro Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamNext Level Training Center & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron RosaIsaac Muluh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Muluh55%
Aaron Rosa 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Muluh a 55% favorite over Aaron Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Rosa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.
Aaron Rosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Rosa finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Muluh 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.