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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Rosa vs James Te Huna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record16-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach75,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rodrigo Pinheiro Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamPirtek Athletic Allstars

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron RosaNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
James Te HunaNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.04
47%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
45%
Strike defense
63%
0.36
Takedown avg.
2.75
33%
Takedown accuracy
38%
86%
Takedown defense
59%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Aaron RosaJames Te Huna
16001650201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
4 (22%)
Submission
3 (19%)
8 (44%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

James Te Huna56%
Aaron Rosa 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes James Te Huna a 56% favorite over Aaron Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Rosa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Aaron Rosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aaron Rosa finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, James Te Huna 81%.

Aaron Rosa and James Te Huna share 1 common opponent: Joey Beltran.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2011
Joey Beltran
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2012