Aaron Rosa vs Quentin Pasley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record4-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rodrigo Pinheiro Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamFighting Arts Academy Connecticut
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron RosaQuentin Pasley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Quentin Pasley55%
Aaron Rosa 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Quentin Pasley a 55% favorite over Aaron Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Rosa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1611), separated by just 0 points.
Aaron Rosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Quentin Pasley enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Aaron Rosa finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Quentin Pasley 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.