Aaron Tau vs Alden Coria
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record13-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
66"Reach67"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
City KickboxingTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1657 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron TauAlden Coria
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alden Coria62%
Aaron Tau 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 62% favorite over Aaron Tau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Tau's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.
Aaron Tau enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alden Coria enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Aaron Tau finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Alden Coria 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.