Chris Mecate13-3-0
Manuel Exposito14-5-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Chris Mecate won
34%Chris Mecate66%Manuel Exposito
Combat Edge Model · Full card
LFA 239: Mecate vs Exposito predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on LFA 239: Mecate vs Exposito (August 21, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
10Total bouts
10Frozen forecasts
6Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
1Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Main card predictions
10 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Daniel Frunza10-4-0
Jonathan Hanes6-4-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Daniel Frunza won
50%Daniel Frunza50%Jonathan Hanes
Benny Orozco7-2-0
Dzhamal Mavliudov6-2-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Benny Orozco won
50%Benny Orozco50%Dzhamal Mavliudov
Nika Sabanashvili3-2-1
Artur Gadzhikhanov6-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Artur Gadzhikhanov won
50%Nika Sabanashvili50%Artur Gadzhikhanov
Irakli Kuchukhidze4-5-0
Austin Clayton6-1-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Austin Clayton won
29%Irakli Kuchukhidze71%Austin Clayton
Joaquin Garcia3-1-0
Orlando Sanders6-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Orlando Sanders won
66%Joaquin Garcia34%Orlando Sanders
Trever Devestern4-1-0
Edmund Kwan5-2-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Trever Devestern won
49%Trever Devestern51%Edmund Kwan
Sevak Khachatryan3-1-0
Aiden Ingram5-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Aiden Ingram won
53%Sevak Khachatryan47%Aiden Ingram
Terrell Bosen2-2-0
Christopher Collins2-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Christopher Collins won
59%Terrell Bosen41%Christopher Collins
Ryan Firinaiu2-0-0
Yoan Robert-Ramirez0-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Ryan Firinaiu won
54%Ryan Firinaiu47%Yoan Robert-Ramirez