Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Tau vs Azat Maksum

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aaron Tau
nz

Aaron Tau

“Tauzemup”

11-1-0FlyweightUFC

1670Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record15-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
66"Reach70"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
City KickboxingTeamOctagon Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron TauNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Azat MaksumNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
44%
Strike accuracy
29%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
60%
Strike defense
52%
0.89
Takedown avg.
2.33
18%
Takedown accuracy
28%
65%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Aaron TauAzat Maksum
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
1 (9%)
Submission
6 (40%)
3 (27%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Azat Maksum60%
Aaron Tau 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Azat Maksum a 60% favorite over Aaron Tau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Tau's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1668), separated by just 2 points.

Aaron Tau enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aaron Tau finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Azat Maksum 67%.

Azat Maksum carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.