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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Tau vs Hector Sandoval

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aaron Tau
nz

Aaron Tau

“Tauzemup”

11-1-0FlyweightUFC

1669Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record15-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'2"
66"Reach36,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
City KickboxingTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron TauNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Hector SandovalNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
44%
Strike accuracy
52%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
60%
Strike defense
66%
0.89
Takedown avg.
3.49
18%
Takedown accuracy
25%
65%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
1.40

Trajectory

Aaron TauHector Sandoval
1650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (13%)
3 (27%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Tau53%
Hector Sandoval 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Tau a 53% favorite over Hector Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hector Sandoval's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Aaron Tau enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Hector Sandoval enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aaron Tau finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Hector Sandoval 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.