Aaron Tau vs Hector Sandoval
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record15-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'2"
66"Reach36,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
City KickboxingTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron TauHector Sandoval
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Tau70%
Hector Sandoval 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Tau a 70% favorite over Hector Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.
Aaron Tau enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Hector Sandoval enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aaron Tau finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Hector Sandoval 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.