Aaron Trujillo vs Marcio Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
70,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamBonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron TrujilloMarcio Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral63%
Aaron Trujillo 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 63% favorite over Aaron Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1498), separated by just 5 points.
Marcio Cabral 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.