Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Wetherspoon vs Dennis Buzukja

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
TBDReach70"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamLongo and Weidman MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron WetherspoonNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Dennis BuzukjaNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Aaron WetherspoonDennis Buzukja
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (30%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Buzukja60%
Aaron Wetherspoon 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Buzukja a 60% favorite over Aaron Wetherspoon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Wetherspoon's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.

Dennis Buzukja enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aaron Wetherspoon finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Dennis Buzukja 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.