Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Wetherspoon vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
Team OyamaTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron WetherspoonNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
65%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aaron WetherspoonJoshua Weems
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
1 (10%)
Submission
9 (53%)
3 (30%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems66%
Aaron Wetherspoon 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 66% favorite over Aaron Wetherspoon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Wetherspoon's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

Aaron Wetherspoon finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.