Aaron Wilkinson vs Dee Reddick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach71.5"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Straight Blast GymTeamModern Warrior MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron WilkinsonDee Reddick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dee Reddick65%
Aaron Wilkinson 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dee Reddick a 65% favorite over Aaron Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1542), separated by just 3 points.
Aaron Wilkinson finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Dee Reddick 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.