Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Wilkinson vs Shaheen Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight148 lbs
Straight Blast GymTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron WilkinsonNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Shaheen SantanaNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
0.82
0%
Strike accuracy
43%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.65
100%
Strike defense
40%
7.32
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.75

Trajectory

Aaron WilkinsonShaheen Santana
1550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (64%)
Submission
6 (75%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Shaheen Santana60%
Aaron Wilkinson 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shaheen Santana a 60% favorite over Aaron Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1545), separated by just 6 points.

Shaheen Santana enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aaron Wilkinson finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Shaheen Santana 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.