Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelkrim Zouad vs Chance Rencountre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelkrim ZouadNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Chance RencountreNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.10
TBD
Strike accuracy
21%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.35
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
17%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Abdelkrim ZouadChance Rencountre
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
4 (50%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (13%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdelkrim Zouad60%
Chance Rencountre 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdelkrim Zouad a 60% favorite over Chance Rencountre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chance Rencountre's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Abdelkrim Zouad enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Chance Rencountre 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.