Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelkrim Zouad vs Forrest Petz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Forrest Petz
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Forrest Petz

“The Meat Cleaver”

26-10-0MiddleweightNAAFS

1650Good

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelkrim ZouadNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Forrest PetzNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdelkrim ZouadForrest Petz
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
13 (50%)
4 (50%)
Submission
4 (15%)
1 (13%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdelkrim Zouad60%
Forrest Petz 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdelkrim Zouad a 60% favorite over Forrest Petz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Forrest Petz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Abdelkrim Zouad enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Forrest Petz 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.