Combat Edge Intelligence

Abderrahman Errachidy vs Andre Winner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record22-13-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rebels Team CasablancaTeamTeam Rough House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abderrahman ErrachidyNow 1572
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
Andre WinnerNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abderrahman ErrachidyAndre Winner
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
14 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Abderrahman Errachidy73%
Andre Winner 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abderrahman Errachidy a 73% favorite over Andre Winner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1572), separated by just 0 points.

Andre Winner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abderrahman Errachidy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Andre Winner 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.