Abderrahman Errachidy vs Erick Gonzalez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rebels Team CasablancaTeamFight Science
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abderrahman ErrachidyErick Gonzalez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abderrahman Errachidy66%
Erick Gonzalez 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Abderrahman Errachidy a 66% favorite over Erick Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erick Gonzalez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1576), separated by just 4 points.
Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Abderrahman Errachidy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Erick Gonzalez 64%.
Erick Gonzalez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.