Abdoul Abdouraguimov vs Colby Covington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record17-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1776 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdoul AbdouraguimovColby Covington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abdoul Abdouraguimov76%
Colby Covington 24%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdoul Abdouraguimov a 76% favorite over Colby Covington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1765), separated by just 5 points.
Abdoul Abdouraguimov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Colby Covington enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abdoul Abdouraguimov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Colby Covington 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.