Abdoul Abdouraguimov vs Conor McGregor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record22-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
If they win+16→ 1790
If they lose-16→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdoul AbdouraguimovConor McGregor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abdoul Abdouraguimov62%
Conor McGregor 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdoul Abdouraguimov a 62% favorite over Conor McGregor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Conor McGregor's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1774), separated by just 4 points.
Abdoul Abdouraguimov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Abdoul Abdouraguimov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Conor McGregor 91%.
Conor McGregor carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.