Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdoul Abdouraguimov vs Francisco Trinaldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-1-0Record29-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdoul AbdouraguimovNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
Francisco TrinaldoNow 1766
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Abdoul AbdouraguimovFrancisco Trinaldo
175018002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
10 (34%)
12 (60%)
Submission
5 (17%)
6 (30%)
Decision
14 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdoul Abdouraguimov73%
Francisco Trinaldo 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdoul Abdouraguimov a 73% favorite over Francisco Trinaldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1766), separated by just 4 points.

Abdoul Abdouraguimov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Abdoul Abdouraguimov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Trinaldo 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.