Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdoul Abdouraguimov vs Tyron Woodley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tyron Woodley
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Tyron Woodley

“The Chosen One”

19-7-1WelterweightBOXING

1774Great

Tale of the tape

20-1-0Record19-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamAmerican Top Team Evolution

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdoul AbdouraguimovNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
Tyron WoodleyNow 1774
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1761 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
88%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Abdoul AbdouraguimovTyron Woodley
17501800185020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
12 (60%)
Submission
5 (26%)
6 (30%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdoul Abdouraguimov72%
Tyron Woodley 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdoul Abdouraguimov a 72% favorite over Tyron Woodley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyron Woodley's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1774), separated by just 4 points.

Abdoul Abdouraguimov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Abdoul Abdouraguimov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tyron Woodley 63%.

Tyron Woodley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.