Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Charles Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-2-0Record37-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovNow 1806
If they win+16→ 1822
If they lose-16→ 1790
Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+12→ 1824
If they lose-12→ 1800

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1767 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.22
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.61

Trajectory

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovCharles Oliveira
1800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
10 (27%)
6 (27%)
Submission
22 (59%)
7 (32%)
Decision
5 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov52%
Charles Oliveira 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov a 52% favorite over Charles Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charles Oliveira's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1806 vs 1812), separated by just 6 points.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Charles Oliveira 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.