Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Dustin Poirier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-2-0Record30-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach72″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovNow 1806
If they win+16→ 1822
If they lose-16→ 1790
Dustin PoirierNow 1812
If they win+12→ 1824
If they lose-12→ 1800

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1814 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.30
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.24
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.28

Trajectory

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovDustin Poirier
18001850202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
15 (50%)
6 (27%)
Submission
8 (27%)
7 (32%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov62%
Dustin Poirier 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov a 62% favorite over Dustin Poirier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Poirier's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1806 vs 1812), separated by just 6 points.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Dustin Poirier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Poirier 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.