Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Eddie Alvarez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eddie Alvarez
us

Eddie Alvarez

“The Underground King”

30-8-0WelterweightONE

1796Great

Tale of the tape

22-2-0Record30-8-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach69,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovNow 1806
If they win+16→ 1822
If they lose-16→ 1790
Eddie AlvarezNow 1796
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
93%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovEddie Alvarez
180018502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
6 (27%)
Submission
6 (20%)
7 (32%)
Decision
6 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov75%
Eddie Alvarez 25%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov a 75% favorite over Eddie Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1806 vs 1796), separated by just 10 points.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Eddie Alvarez 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.