Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Ian Machado Garry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-2-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'3"
-Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1836
If they lose-16→ 1804
If they win+16→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1799
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1775 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovIan Machado Garry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Machado Garry52%
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Machado Garry a 52% favorite over Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1820 vs 1815), separated by just 5 points.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ian Machado Garry 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.