Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Michael Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-2-0Record19-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach 79"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1837
If they lose-15→ 1805
If they win+15→ 1855
If they lose-17→ 1823
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovMichael Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Morales67%
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov 33%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 67% favorite over Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1840 to 1820, a 20-point edge.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Michael Morales 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.