Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Shinya Aoki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-2-0Record48-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamParaestra Tokyo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1822
If they lose-16→ 1790
If they win+12→ 1820
If they lose-12→ 1796
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovShinya Aoki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov78%
Shinya Aoki 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov a 78% favorite over Shinya Aoki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shinya Aoki's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1806 vs 1808), separated by just 2 points.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Shinya Aoki 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.