Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Abe Alsaghir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record9-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyAbe Alsaghir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abe Alsaghir73%
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abe Alsaghir a 73% favorite over Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.
Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Abe Alsaghir 78%.
Abe Alsaghir carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.