Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Elvin Espinoza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach74.00"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyElvin Espinoza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady60%
Elvin Espinoza 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady a 60% favorite over Elvin Espinoza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elvin Espinoza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1685), separated by just 1 points.
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Elvin Espinoza 80%.
Elvin Espinoza carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.