Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Matheus Camilo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach 69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Matheus Camilo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668
If they win+17→ 1674
If they lose-15→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyMatheus Camilo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Camilo62%
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Camilo a 62% favorite over Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady's way (46%).
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1657, a 28-point edge.
Matheus Camilo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.