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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Brad Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record21-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach74"
187 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1702
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690
Brad TavaresNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.70
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
80%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevBrad Tavares
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (24%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (10%)
13 (62%)
Decision
14 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Brad Tavares59%
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 59% favorite over Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1699), separated by just 3 points.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Brad Tavares 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.