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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Daniel Kelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record13-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach70,5"
187 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamResilience Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Daniel KellyNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.64
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.86
Not available
Takedown accuracy
34%
Not available
Takedown defense
79%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevDaniel Kelly
1700175020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (38%)
13 (62%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev72%
Daniel Kelly 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev a 72% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1701), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Kelly 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.