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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Joe Riggs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Riggs
us

Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record49-18-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach37,0"
187 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamSoul Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.45
Not available
Takedown accuracy
55%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevJoe Riggs
17002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
37 (77%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (15%)
13 (62%)
Decision
4 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev63%
Joe Riggs 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev a 63% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Riggs's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1704), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.