Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Kiyoshi Tamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record32-13-3
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
187 lbsWeight195 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamU-File Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1689
If they win+12→ 1701
If they lose-12→ 1677
Kiyoshi TamuraNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevKiyoshi Tamura
1650170020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
1 (5%)
Submission
13 (50%)
12 (60%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev70%
Kiyoshi Tamura 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev a 70% favorite over Kiyoshi Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiyoshi Tamura's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1690), separated by just 1 points.

Kiyoshi Tamura enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Kiyoshi Tamura 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.