Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Renato Sobral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record37-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamBabalu's Iron Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1689
If they win+12→ 1701
If they lose-12→ 1677
Renato SobralNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.16

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevRenato Sobral
17002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
1 (5%)
Submission
15 (41%)
12 (60%)
Decision
13 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev72%
Renato Sobral 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev a 72% favorite over Renato Sobral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.

Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Renato Sobral 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.