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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Rickson Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-6-0Record11-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
187 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamRickson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1702
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690
Rickson GracieNow 1703
If they win+24→ 1727
If they lose-24→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevRickson Gracie
1650170019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (5%)
Submission
9 (82%)
13 (62%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev56%
Rickson Gracie 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev a 56% favorite over Rickson Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rickson Gracie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.

Rickson Gracie enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Rickson Gracie 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.