Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Will Fleury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-Reach77"
187 lbsWeight238 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· avg 1683 EloTeamSBG Ireland· avg 1632 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Will FleuryNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevWill Fleury
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (24%)
12 (60%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Fleury62%
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Fleury a 62% favorite over Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1692), separated by just 4 points.

Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.