Damien Lapilus22-15-3
Nicolae Bivol7-3-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
50%Damien Lapilus50%Nicolae Bivol
Combat Edge Model · Full card
Hexagone MMA 47: Lapilus vs Bivol predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on Hexagone MMA 47: Lapilus vs Bivol (September 25, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
11Total bouts
11Frozen forecasts
8Close matchups
4Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
Card intelligence
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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 11 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
David Sipra5-1-0
Azevedo Junior6-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agree
46%David Sipra54%Azevedo Junior
Mahamadou Soukouna5-1-0
Elie Caille7-3-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
48%Mahamadou Soukouna52%Elie Caille
Axel Alfandari2-1-0
Tomáš Galko1-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
62%Axel Alfandari38%Tomáš Galko
Nessim Khettou2-1-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
49.1%Nessim Khettou50.9%Mohammed Amine Moufrij
Ugo-Antton Vidal0-0-0
Morgan Thong0-1-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
42%Ugo-Antton Vidal58%Morgan Thong
Prelims
Prelims predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Morgane Dehaye4-1-0
Alison Canot0-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
63%Morgane Dehaye37%Alison Canot
Mani Grimaudo0-0-0
Hicham Outaleb0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
49.3%Mani Grimaudo50.7%Hicham Outaleb
Wilsan Said0-0-0
Marco Hernandez0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
49.3%Wilsan Said50.7%Marco Hernandez
Boubacar Oumarou0-0-0
Yassir Fadili0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
49.3%Boubacar Oumarou50.7%Yassir Fadili
Dairou Mobalbaye0-0-0
Jonatas Paulo0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
49.3%Dairou Mobalbaye50.7%Jonatas Paulo