Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Jan Błachowicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record29-12-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Nuremberg MMATeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Jan BłachowiczNow 1733
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-12→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1759 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
69%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
59%
Strike defense
52%
11.11
Takedown avg.
0.98
75%
Takedown accuracy
31%
100%
Takedown defense
69%
7.41
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevJan Błachowicz
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
5 (50%)
Submission
9 (31%)
1 (10%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev61%
Jan Błachowicz 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev a 61% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1733), separated by just 5 points.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.