Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Raffael Cerqueira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0 Record 11-4-0
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'2" Height 6'3"
78" Reach 76"
205 lbs Weight 205 lbs
Nuremberg MMA Team CTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Raffael Cerqueira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevNow 1727
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-20→ 1707
Raffael CerqueiraNow 1628
If they win+20→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

7.40
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
67%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
4.88
57%
Strike defense
37%
11.49
Takedown avg.
0
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
40%
7.66
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Raffael Cerqueira
1600 1650 1700 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev92%
Raffael Cerqueira8%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev a 92% favorite over Raffael Cerqueira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1628, a 99-point edge.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev and Raffael Cerqueira share 1 common opponent: Julius Walker.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win KO · 2026
Julius Walker
Loss Decision (unanimous) · 2025