Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Raffael Cerqueira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Raffael Cerqueira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevNow 1738
If they win+11→ 1749
If they lose-21→ 1717
Raffael CerqueiraNow 1629
If they win+21→ 1650
If they lose-11→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.64
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
69%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
59%
Strike defense
37%
11.11
Takedown avg.
0
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
40%
7.41
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevRaffael Cerqueira
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev92%
Raffael Cerqueira 8%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev a 92% favorite over Raffael Cerqueira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1629, a 109-point edge.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev and Raffael Cerqueira share 1 common opponent: Julius Walker.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2026
Julius Walker
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025