Combat Edge Intelligence

Abe Alsaghir vs Cristian Pérez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record15-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72" Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamVictory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Cristian Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Abe Alsaghir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abe AlsaghirNow 1685
If they win+25→ 1710
If they lose-23→ 1662
Cristian PérezNow 1704
If they win+15→ 1719
If they lose-17→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abe AlsaghirCristian Pérez
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
3 (33%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abe Alsaghir and Cristian Pérez within a point of even.

Cristian Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1685, a 19-point edge.

Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Cristian Pérez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Cristian Pérez 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.