Combat Edge Intelligence

Abe Alsaghir vs Damon Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72" Reach 71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abe AlsaghirNow 1685
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
Damon JacksonNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Abe AlsaghirDamon Jackson
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (33%)
Submission
15 (65%)
2 (22%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Abe Alsaghir92%
Damon Jackson 8%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abe Alsaghir a 92% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1683), separated by just 2 points.

Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Damon Jackson 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.