Abe Alsaghir vs Elvin Espinoza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72" Reach74.00"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abe AlsaghirElvin Espinoza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abe Alsaghir71%
Elvin Espinoza 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abe Alsaghir a 71% favorite over Elvin Espinoza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.
Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Elvin Espinoza 80%.
Elvin Espinoza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.