Abe Alsaghir vs Joe Ellenberger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record15-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72" Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamPremier Combat Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abe AlsaghirJoe Ellenberger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abe Alsaghir and Joe Ellenberger within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.
Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Joe Ellenberger 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.