Abe Alsaghir vs Josh Thomson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record22-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72" ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight153 lbs
TeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abe AlsaghirJosh Thomson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Thomson54%
Abe Alsaghir 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Thomson a 54% favorite over Abe Alsaghir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abe Alsaghir's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.
Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Josh Thomson 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.