Combat Edge Intelligence

Abe Alsaghir vs Josh Thomson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record22-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72" ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight153 lbs
TeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abe AlsaghirNow 1685
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
Josh ThomsonNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Abe AlsaghirJosh Thomson
160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
3 (33%)
Submission
9 (41%)
2 (22%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Abe Alsaghir88%
Josh Thomson 12%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abe Alsaghir a 88% favorite over Josh Thomson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1684), separated by just 1 points.

Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Josh Thomson 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.