Combat Edge Intelligence

Abe Alsaghir vs Richie Miranda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72" Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abe AlsaghirNow 1685
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
Richie MirandaNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abe AlsaghirRichie Miranda
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
3 (33%)
Submission
3 (23%)
2 (22%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Abe Alsaghir71%
Richie Miranda 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abe Alsaghir a 71% favorite over Richie Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Richie Miranda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1686), separated by just 1 points.

Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Richie Miranda 62%.

Richie Miranda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.