Abel Trujillo vs Gleison Tibau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record40-20-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
BlackziliansTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Abel Trujillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1628
If they lose-10→ 1604
If they win+10→ 1669
If they lose-14→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abel TrujilloGleison Tibau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau72%
Abel Trujillo 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 72% favorite over Abel Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1614, a 45-point edge.
Abel Trujillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abel Trujillo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Gleison Tibau 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.