Combat Edge Intelligence

Abel Trujillo vs James Vick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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James Vick
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James Vick

“The Texecutioner”

13-6-0WelterweightXMMA

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'3"
70,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
BlackziliansTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

James Vick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Abel Trujillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abel TrujilloNow 1615
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1604
James VickNow 1646
If they win+15→ 1661
If they lose-17→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
41%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
60%
Strike defense
61%
2.18
Takedown avg.
0.26
45%
Takedown accuracy
33%
40%
Takedown defense
58%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Abel TrujilloJames Vick
1600165017001750201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
4 (29%)
Submission
5 (38%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

James Vick56%
Abel Trujillo 44%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes James Vick a 56% favorite over Abel Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

James Vick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1615, a 31-point edge.

Abel Trujillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Vick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Abel Trujillo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, James Vick 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.